People per cell siteAT&T, Verizon cram 3-5 as many people on each cell site. AT&T 50,000, China Mobile 1,000,000, SK Korea 35,000, Spain 33,000. Currently, Albania, The Maldive Islands, and at least a dozen other countries have faster LTE networks than the USA. The chart is adjusted for population and AT&T obviously stands out. Verizon would be similar.

Since 2000, U.S. wireless networks have been far less reliable than many in Europe and East Asia, except for a brief period around 2010-2011.

Verizon built the world's first large LTE network. There was no good way to improve their 3G CDMA system to 3.5G. They took a chance and LTE worked really well for them. The technology imperative was clear and explained publicly by top Verizon officials.

Verizon had much of the U.S. covered by the end of 2010. The network, designed for 6-12 megabits down, was much faster than previous 3G nets. By 2012-2014, many telcos had also delivered LTE but tailored their networks to deliver 20 to 100+ megabits most of the time. In 2015, many have upgraded to two band carrier aggregation, allowing speeds over 200 megabits in many cases. 

"Verizon 4G LTE wireless broadband is 10 times faster than 3G—able to handle download speeds between 5 and 12 Mbps," Verizon advertises as I write this in early October 2015. Their actual network is similar to those regularly reaching 50-100 megabits but VZ doesn't try to match that. Like AT&T in the chart, they have far more customers per cell site and hence more crowded networks

Robin Bienenstock. then a top London analyst, pointed me to the poor USA networks a few years ago.

“Let's take California and Spain as an example. Telefonica has some 33,000 base stations in Spain (yes, miserable, economically imploding Spain). Conveniently, California is a similar size, has a similar topography, and has very similar population density. In California, AT&T has just over 6,000 base stations. The spectrum allocation per pop in these two operators (TEF in Spain and AT&T in California) is remarkably similar. A similar analysis looking at New Jersey and Massachusetts vs the Netherlands shows similar results.

"Why are European networks so much denser than American networks? In large part the answer lies (again) in regulation. In Europe, the spectrum auctions of last decade came with 'use it or lose it clauses' that obliged operators to build a minimum of base stations or face sanctions from fines to loss of spectrum. The result is clear to any American visiting Europe… and more frustratingly obvious to any European visiting the States.”

Verizon and AT&T will soon offer higher speeds, maybe even the "up to 100 megabits." But the limited number of cell sites will mean they continue inferior to many others. Sascha Sagan of PC Magazine reports field tests at Sprint uver 100 megabits, the kind of speed becoming common around the world. But average speed in his testing was under 20 megabits.

Sources: There is no strict definition of a "cell site," much less a public count. Does one count small cells, DAS, etc? I'm convinced the analysis here is on target, although the individual numbers are best estimates. Anyone with better data, please share.

  • The Korean 35,000 base station figure is from RCR Wireless for SKT, one operator.
  • AT&T and Verizon refuse to give out the number of their cell sites. European carriers routinely make their figures available. The broadband plan calculated they had about 40,000 each in 2009. They've added some DAS and WiFi since, but not enough to transform the network, 
  • The Spanish and California figures are from a note to investors by Robin Bienenstock then of Bernstein. She now is at Gladwyne Partners and on the board of Oi, a Brazilian telco.

 

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 Gig LTE & Massive MIMO ushering in the Age of Wireless Abundance

Wireless Abundance is here: What the new tech means http://bit.ly/Wirelessabundance
Sprint & T-Mobile Charge to be 1st in U.S. to Gig LTE bit.ly/STMOgig  AT&T bit.ly/ATTGIG2016
Kitahara of Softbank “I am crazy about Massive MIMO” http://bit.ly/MMIMOCrazy
20 Gig mmWave, Massive MIMO & Gig LTE at the Huawei MBBF http://bit.ly/Huawei20
LTE gets to the gigabit explained for non-engineers http://bit.ly/GigLteexplained
Massive MIMO explained. http://bit.ly/WHMassiveMIMO
2017's Big Gigabit story: Qualcomm 835 is ready http://bit.ly/BigGigLTE
Doubling speed with 4x4 MIMO & 256 QAM at T-Mobile http://bit.ly/2k1gEOQ
Netgear Nighthawk M1, Telstra do "gigabit class" LTE http://bit.ly/2k1s5Gq
Spectrum price down by half http://bit.ly/Spectrumhalfoff
Dish and the telcos see big asset cut http://bit.ly/auctionlosers
Shorts on 3GPP,  NYU research, Ralph de la Vega, 5G new radio

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5GW News

dave right5G? 4G? Whatever the name, wireless is going to a gigabit, soon.  I've reported broadband since 1999 and now is the time for gigabit wireless. Catch a mistake or have news? Email me please. Dave Burstein

 

Stories worth writing

Starry may match Verizon 5G at half the cost
OFCOM in UK: Share all spectrum, even licensed
OFCOM's Boccardi: 26 GHz worldwide: U.S. goes 28 
Verizon 5G fixed tests will be only 100's of homes
Massive MIMO FD at China Uni, Tele, Huawei, ZTE

 

 

 

Datapoints

Verizon and AT&T burying price increases in fees. 

Huawei's Richard Yu intends to pass both Apple & Samsung in smartphones in five years. 

The 3,000,000,000 transistor Qualcomm 835 is a revolution. Gig LTE, incredible cameras, better VR & AR, & ... State of the art CPU, DSL, GPU, ISP tightly integrated

1,000 T-Mobile small cells 2016, 6,000 more coming. Tech Life

New $84 Reliance Lyf Wind 7S has a 5" screen, a quad-core Snapdragon, an 8 megapixel camera, and some extras. Not state of the art, perhaps, but completely usable at a modest price. 

Orange/FT 4G covers 97% of Poland, 96% of Moldova, but only 84% in France, Q3 2016. They have 113.5 mobile customers in Africa compared to 25.5M in Europe.

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