Anything new, the marketing people call "5G." The 600 MHz system T-Mobile just announced as "5G Nationwide" is an (excellent) 4G LTE system with a few minor tweaks that add little. (5G NR.) I'm not the only one who thinks so; Telefonica CTO Enrique Blanco just said publicly what his peers are saying privately.

Why all the deception? The marketing people want to seem advanced. The telco lobbyists want to have a lever to get what they want out of government. Most regulators don't know enough about tech in the real world to know when they are being lied to. That includes the top Digital Society people at the EU, and two U.S. FCC Commissioners, one Democrat and one Republican. (Their tech people are excellent and know what's going on, but the politicians don't listen.)

The FCC folks are extremely smart, hard-working, and basically honorable, despite what you may think about politicians of the other party. Current Chairman Pai is a brilliant lawyer. But he doesn't know enough about networks or the business to realize when the lobbyists are lying. It's true the DC lawyers are often very, very good at persuading people. The best are paid $3M/year and more. David Cohen of Comcast earned $16M one year. You have to really understand this stuff to see where (many of) the arguments fall apart.

For example, Verizon is saying they "must have" massive amounts of 28 GHz monopoly spectrum or they can't build a 5G network. Sharing spectrum now can work and delivers two to five times the capacity. Verizon itself proved that with testing LAA, which they will use to take some of the spectrum from Wi-Fi. If done right, it can be fine, although Verizon pushed through a system with some gotchas.  

Pai's Chief Technologist, Columbia Professor on leave Henning Schulzrinne, two weeks ago told an audience of engineers, "From now on, all new spectrum will be shared." OFCOM's Boccardi in an unofficial paper suggests the same.  They are right on the engineering, but likely wrong on the politics. Verizon will probably get what they want.

The best networks need a certain amount of monopoly spectrum, for signaling, public safety, and reliable signaling. That's probably half the amount of spectrum the big companies have now.

Verizon is demanding monopoly spectrum in order to exclude others. They can and should design their new network for sharing.  They are actually the world leaders in the sharing technology.  

The EU people are worse, and the 5G, spectrum, competition, and similar policies show they have been bamboozled. Monopoly spectrum is now mostly obsolete. All countries want more wireless capacity.. so the right policy actually is to start reducing "licensed" spectrum in about ten years. Instead, an EU Commissioner is suggesting license terms be extended from 10 to 25 years. In 2017, that's absurd. The European telcos are claiming they won't build 5G if they only have a 10 or 15 year license. Any competent Wall Street analyst can make mincemeat of that claim. Nearly all corporate investment decisions are based on the expected return within 5-10 years, often less. Among other things, the people making those decisions know they likely are gone or retired in ten years.

Because the people in charge are usually thickheaded, telecom policy in the Western World has become worse and since about 2003. 

Newsletter

Often interesting

Latest issue

 Gig LTE & Massive MIMO ushering in the Age of Wireless Abundance

Wireless Abundance is here: What the new tech means http://bit.ly/Wirelessabundance
Sprint & T-Mobile Charge to be 1st in U.S. to Gig LTE bit.ly/STMOgig  AT&T bit.ly/ATTGIG2016
Kitahara of Softbank “I am crazy about Massive MIMO” http://bit.ly/MMIMOCrazy
20 Gig mmWave, Massive MIMO & Gig LTE at the Huawei MBBF http://bit.ly/Huawei20
LTE gets to the gigabit explained for non-engineers http://bit.ly/GigLteexplained
Massive MIMO explained. http://bit.ly/WHMassiveMIMO
2017's Big Gigabit story: Qualcomm 835 is ready http://bit.ly/BigGigLTE
Doubling speed with 4x4 MIMO & 256 QAM at T-Mobile http://bit.ly/2k1gEOQ
Netgear Nighthawk M1, Telstra do "gigabit class" LTE http://bit.ly/2k1s5Gq
Spectrum price down by half http://bit.ly/Spectrumhalfoff
Dish and the telcos see big asset cut http://bit.ly/auctionlosers
Shorts on 3GPP,  NYU research, Ralph de la Vega, 5G new radio

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5GW News

dave right5G? 4G? Whatever the name, wireless is going to a gigabit, soon.  I've reported broadband since 1999 and now is the time for gigabit wireless. Catch a mistake or have news? Email me please. Dave Burstein

 

Stories worth writing

Starry may match Verizon 5G at half the cost
OFCOM in UK: Share all spectrum, even licensed
OFCOM's Boccardi: 26 GHz worldwide: U.S. goes 28 
Verizon 5G fixed tests will be only 100's of homes
Massive MIMO FD at China Uni, Tele, Huawei, ZTE

 

 

 

Datapoints

Verizon and AT&T burying price increases in fees. 

Huawei's Richard Yu intends to pass both Apple & Samsung in smartphones in five years. 

The 3,000,000,000 transistor Qualcomm 835 is a revolution. Gig LTE, incredible cameras, better VR & AR, & ... State of the art CPU, DSL, GPU, ISP tightly integrated

1,000 T-Mobile small cells 2016, 6,000 more coming. Tech Life

New $84 Reliance Lyf Wind 7S has a 5" screen, a quad-core Snapdragon, an 8 megapixel camera, and some extras. Not state of the art, perhaps, but completely usable at a modest price. 

Orange/FT 4G covers 97% of Poland, 96% of Moldova, but only 84% in France, Q3 2016. They have 113.5 mobile customers in Africa compared to 25.5M in Europe.

more

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